Tough day yesterday!
Still (but only with the dollar!) I managed to print a flat day.
IWM short worked very well, Dollar printed a strong day against the Euro, and GBTC long did not loose with other high beta exposures.
Port was down about half a percent (without the positive dollar effect).
Not bad!
I was bullish from around 16th to 18th until yesterday. Now I am neutral. My hedge (short on IWM) stayed on the whole way.
The action yesterday was not good:
· Semis monster weak
· ARKK printed a very weak day, mid cap high beta look weak again.
· Relative Strength at high beta big cap growth compounders are still very strong, but as we now, they turn last.
· Breakouts plays not working (VTNR, BTU etc.)
· Too much up too fast, just look at the chart of TSLA and you know what I mean…
I will reduce risk here:
What is clear, that the small cap value tech names I added mid-March are not working, so I will sell them (10 names, about 100k). So the call was great, but the execution was bad.
Not sure, what I will do with GBTC yet, but what is sure, that I will sell as soon my entry price from last friday morning is hit. It shows great relative strength, so I will give it some room.
Also, if we get a 1–2-day rally here and ARKK is behaving weak, this would be a great point to add a small short (e.g. a long on SARK) on it.
Port will look like this after the changes:
Long 500k Small cap value momentum, short IWM 250k. Long GBTC 85k with a tight entry-based stop.
Well, well, what a difference a day makes…
Disclaimer: For educational purpose only. Not investment advice. Seek professional advice from a financial advisor before making any investing decisions.