I did a deep dive to get a better reading:
High beta industries are leading (flagged are Cyc’s or Tech):
57 of 65 higher beta industries right now are above the 30 weekly (!) moving average with a positive slope (slope going up). You know when that was the case the last time?
November 2020! And similar readings happened through drawdowns up to August 2021.
XLK behaving well:
Small cap value momentum behaving well:
High Beta (higher quality) behaving well:
SPY stocks with good earnings behaving well:
New highs new lows stayed constructive within the pullback:
Macro: Chinas reopening and (!) liquidity impulse is not yet in the data!
I could be totally wrong here and the day-to-day tape will lead me. But the more I look at the action, the more I think “hey it is possible that we saw the lows and this is a new bull market”.
Breakouts:
The whole pullback breakouts stayed constructive:
I also did a deep dive on breakouts, here is so far my best screen:
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